Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.041503 0.048562 0.056335 0.065511 0.076031 0.087695 0.101590
2025-02-16 0.028998 0.037732 0.048285 0.061907 0.078947 0.099479 0.126000
2025-02-23 0.020980 0.030065 0.041997 0.058664 0.081162 0.110269 0.150535
2025-03-02 0.015879 0.024849 0.037554 0.056596 0.084075 0.121891 0.177363
2025-03-09 0.012851 0.021771 0.035290 0.056848 0.089824 0.137681 0.211483
2025-03-16 0.010104 0.018470 0.031988 0.054840 0.091736 0.147962 0.238707
2025-03-23 0.008874 0.017335 0.031785 0.057466 0.100875 0.169798 0.285339
2025-03-30 0.007526 0.015688 0.030402 0.057840 0.106294 0.186271 0.325210
2025-04-06 0.006201 0.013787 0.028208 0.056395 0.108323 0.197289 0.357193
2025-04-13 0.005186 0.012264 0.026419 0.055340 0.110770 0.209078 0.391401
2025-04-20 0.004756 0.011864 0.026705 0.058192 0.120584 0.234494 0.451341
2025-04-27 0.004318 0.011347 0.026659 0.060348 0.129282 0.258668 0.511174
2025-05-04 0.003565 0.009961 0.024592 0.058165 0.129433 0.267481 0.544581
2025-05-11 0.003048 0.009024 0.023342 0.057515 0.132571 0.282245 0.590541
2025-05-18 0.002549 0.008010 0.021728 0.055802 0.133258 0.292278 0.628361
2025-05-25 0.002155 0.007179 0.020393 0.054501 0.134624 0.303737 0.669958
2025-06-01 0.001913 0.006722 0.019899 0.055100 0.140237 0.324371 0.731742
2025-06-08 0.001606 0.005982 0.018530 0.053328 0.140191 0.333069 0.769689
2025-06-15 0.001510 0.005887 0.018886 0.055986 0.150856 0.365771 0.860805
2025-06-22 0.001346 0.005522 0.018415 0.056403 0.156157 0.387143 0.929388
2025-06-29 0.001149 0.004984 0.017339 0.055016 0.156819 0.398141 0.976225
2025-07-06 0.000991 0.004539 0.016450 0.053998 0.158272 0.411048 1.028331
2025-07-13 0.000945 0.004511 0.016865 0.056794 0.169973 0.448954 1.140035